Bitcoin’s value surge is driven by economic imbalances, institutional distrust, fiscal recklessness, and mounting debt, according to VanEck’s Matthew Sigel.
By 2050, VanEck suggests that bitcoin could account for 10% of international trade and 5% of local trade, serving as a reserve asset held by central banks. To achieve this, layer-2 networks will play a crucial role in overcoming scalability issues and enabling BTC to function as a medium of exchange.
However, there are risks. Rising energy demand, government crackdowns, and competition from other digital assets pose challenges to bitcoin’s growth. VanEck’s base case scenario envisions BTC becoming a key medium of exchange, representing 10% of global trade settlement and 5% of GDP. Additionally, it could gain prominence as a global reserve asset, potentially surpassing major fiat currencies.
If VanEck’s vision materializes, bitcoin’s price could increase 44-fold, reaching $2.9 million by 2050. Layer-2 networks, similar to those in Ethereum, are expected to be worth $7.6 trillion collectively.
Sentiment: Neutral
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